On The Brink of Winter: The LRC Enters Final Development Stages

The weather pattern is just about set for the year ahead

Welcome to the Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report. As we edge closer to unveiling our detailed winter forecast, I want to extend a warm thank you to our new subscribers for joining us on this fascinating journey of atmospheric discovery. To our long-standing members, your continued engagement & support is very much appreciated as we continue to work at refining the LRC mode and enhancing our forecasts.

Each year, as we go in-depth into the Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC), it feels like we are assembling a rather complex atmospheric jigsaw. As we approach the final stages of this year's initial cycle analysis, the pieces of our weather puzzle are still blinking in and out of focus. The LRC “bright light” almost always turns on in the second week of December where we are then able to predict the year ahead much more reliably.

Next week, we'll share a special winter forecast report, put together from our knowledge of the cycling weather pattern. Let’s get started with a little of what has been happening and some trends we see that are still being defined.

October was quite dry, and then suddenly as we approached Halloween the dry weather flipped into a much wetter pattern. This was caused by storm systems that will be in a long stretch of this year’s LRC and will return in each cycle. The spring version of this wetter part of the pattern is likely to produce severe weather outbreaks and flooding events. We will be working on these predictions in the coming months.

There was also a long dry stretch right at the beginning of this years pattern as shown below:

This oscillation from dry to wet, then back to dry again is likely a part of the weather pattern we will be able to predict with precision in a few weeks.

The temperature anomalies, shown on the above slide, likely showcase a stormier pattern that intensifies near the Four Corners region. This may very well indicate the formation of big winter storms in the months ahead that would impact the ski resorts, the central plains and parts of the Corn Belt in the winter cycles.

Here is today's video presentation. As a special bonus, I'll be showcasing the initial two months of this year's cycling weather pattern. See if you can begin to see the pattern. After the video, we’ll open up a discussion on how to interpret and utilize the LRC model's snowfall predictions. We'll also examine some key data points, and I encourage everyone to participate in the discussion. If any questions arise, let's explore the answers together and deepen our understanding of the LRC model and the best ways to use it!