The July Heat Wave Outlook
We will look at the LRC Model and the potential for heat waves in the next month
Welcome to the Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report! We will go in-depth into when and where the potential heat waves will grow or track into in July!
I hope everyone has had a nice spring. Are you ready for summer because it is on our doorstep. The jet stream is retreating north and summer will settle in during the next couple of weeks. With summer settling in, what does the LRC tell us for where and when the heat waves will appear, grow, and then fall apart?
There may be a limited heat wave for three to five days right around the 4th of July. I will dive deeper into this one and two others in a minute, but first let’s look at what is going on in the tropics as this week’s showcase of the LRC and how it is right on target.
Weather 20/20 is one of the couple dozen or so organizations that attempt to make hurricane season predictions. The LRC is the only known methodology known in science today that even has a chance of knowing when and where tropical storms will form and track, and then make landfall. So, we will get rather specific and we are targeting near the second week of September as a rather dangerous and active week for this upcoming hurricane season.
On this chart below you can see that Weather 20/20 is predicting the lowest number of named storms in the 2024 season, with 14-19 named storms. The other predictions are emphasizing the developing La Niña, but they made the same mistake a couple years ago. As a result, Weather 20/20 has had the most accurate predictions the past two years, and we expect to make it 3 in a row a few months from now.
Last week, on X, there was a little criticism when I posted this next tweet, or X, the screenshot in the middle of this slide below:
I circled an area over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and discussed that this is the region in one of our top predictions of the season to be targeted around September 9th, and if something shows up now, then it increases the probability of the later LRC cycle producing a strong hurricane. And, then what happened this morning? The National Hurricane Center (the screenshot on the left) placed an area they are now tracking. And, if you look at the text on the right, that is the prediction we made on March 4th when we issued our tropical season guide. This is another in the category of “you can’t make this up”. We just predicted where the NHC would put an X and months ago. We are not predicting that the June 11th version of the LRC would produce a tropical storm, but it may? This is validation of another accurate showcase of the LRC in action.