The Tropics Are About To Wake Up With Our Next Two Named Storms

Texas & Louisiana need to pay close attention to the next few days

The next two named storms are finally starting showcase that they will be able to form, after a long period of quiet in the tropics. Let’s take a look and go in-depth.

Here is the video link: Francine Likely Forms Soon

We have only had three hurricanes and five named storms this season. Francine and Gordon are next on the list and will likely form in the next seven days, Francine sooner, and Gordon a bit later.

The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring these interesting areas of concern and the threat is growing as the models come into focus.

It has been a quiet period of time, and it is not a shock to us at Weather 20/20. We predicted around September 9th for it to get active, and it appears to finally be happening as predicted in March. This graphic below shows the Accumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE, which is a good measure of how active a hurricane season is, and this year is now close to average after the initial spike from Major Hurricane Beryl.

Let’s Look At The Models out early on Saturday:

Look closely at the GFS (American) Model showing the developing potential tropical storm Francine by Tuesday morning:

Now, let’s move 24 hours further in time and we can see that this system is forecast to track off the Texas coast, and close enough to have everyone please be aware of this system. If it is near or on the coast it may not be able to intensify, but this GFS model and others coming in have it over the very warm Gulf of Mexico waters to potentially intensify this into a hurricane as it tracks and threatens the Texas and Louisiana coastline.

The map above shows the forecast valid Wednesday at 2 PM eastern, and the one below shows landfall on Thursday morning in Louisiana:

Other models are similar, so watch the Youtube video for more details, posted above.

As this storm moves inland, look at what is forecast to form over the Atlantic. This next storm would be Tropical Storm Gordon, and we believe it is related to one we had last fall. Hurricane Tammy did curve out over the Atlantic Ocean, so let’s see how this one develops and tracks. Interests along the east coast of the USA and the Atlantic Ocean Islands need to pay close attention.

We will be monitoring this closely with our full Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report coming out Tuesday to Premium customers.

Let us know if you have any questions.

Gary Lezak