Wet Storm Is Developing & Tropical Update
The first cycle of this year's weather pattern continues to evolve
In this week’s tropical & LRC Intelligence Report, we're not only tracking a significant tropical development but also forecasting the potential impacts of a developing wet storm system that's poised to affect a wide swath of regions. As we dive into an analysis of this first cycle of the 2024-2025 LRC, I’m thrilled to extend a special welcome to the dozens of new subscribers who have joined Weather 20/20 showcasing the difference in weather forecasting. I encourage your engagement and ask any questions of share any thoughts as this first cycle evolves.
As we continue to observe the evolution of the 2024-2025 cycling weather pattern, a significant transformation is underway; I described it a few days ago as a “massive change”. Recent developments have brought about a series of wet storm systems, bringing wet conditions in regions that have experienced prolonged dry spells. Additionally, the tropics have begun to wake up after a little quiet period, signaling a resurgence of activity that warrants close monitoring.
List of Tropical Storm Names for 2024:
We start with a refreshed roster of names for this season’s potential storms. Understanding these names not only personalizes the storms but also aids in effective communication and preparedness as they develop.
The National Hurricane Center named Patty earlier today and immediately called it a strengthening tropical storm with sustained winds of 65 mph gusting to near hurricane strength. I have my doubts as to it being a tropical system as it seems to be part of a mid-latitude synoptic scale system and it is moving over water not favorable for a tropical storm. Patty will fall apart by Monday.
There is another area of interest as well that may become organized in the next few days over the Caribbean. If it does develop into a named storm it will be called Rafael. I discuss this and more in today’s video and then I will continue this discussion with rainfall forecasts for the approaching wet storm.